The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 43.3%
Draw 28.3%
Hull City 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
27.2%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
28.3%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
20.8%
16.7%
Derby County - Hull City Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 45.7% โ 84.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 6. Langas S. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 23. Ward J. 18. Ozoh D. 42. Clark B. 20. Elder C. 25. Brereton Diaz B. 7. Agyemang P. 9. Morris C. (C)
1. Pandur I. (G) 6. Ajayi S. 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. (C) 18. Drameh C. 25. Crooks M. 27. Slater R. 3. Giles R. 21. Gelhardt J. 22. Joseph K. 19. Ndala J.
Substitutes
32. Adams E. 4. Batth D. 11. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Brewster R. 3. Forsyth C. 19. Jackson K. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 14. Weimann A.
11. Akintola B. 40. Brown P. 2. Coyle L. 39. Destan E. 23. Famewo A. 24. Gyabi D. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 58. McCarthy C. 12. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Eustace J.
Jakirovic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Ndala J. ⚽,
68', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
70', Ndala J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
81', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
81', Gelhardt J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
82', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
85', Salvesen L. 🟨,
86', Egan J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4.
Derby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hull is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Derby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Johnston M.
(Inactive)
Nelson C.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
Travis L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lundstram J.
(Calf Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
McBurnie O.
(Inactive)
Palmer K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hull: Millar L.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Derby won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Derby County - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.35%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Langas S. 
Sanderson D. 
Elder C. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Agyemang P. 
Pandur I. (G) 
Ajayi S. 
Egan J. 
Joseph K. 
Adams E. 
Weimann A. 
Destan E. 
Hadziahmetovic A. 
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