Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
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Finland	Viaplay
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Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dijon		Metz

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.35	Watch
	2.87	3.40	2.30
	2.85	3.45	2.33	Watch
	2.95	3.37	2.48
	2.73	3.56	2.41	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.45
	2.83	3.50	2.32	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
33.1%

Draw
27.7%

Metz
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

26.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Dijon - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Metz will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Metz (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 7. Hamada B. 23. Lacroix L. 5. Bernard Q. 75. Diallo B. 8. Bellon P. 14. Marie J. (C) 20. Vargas-Rios H. 17. Lembezat A. 11. Tavares J. 90. Lago E.	1. Fischer J. (G) 2. Colin M. 42. Devenish C. 5. Ruiz J. 70. Sarr B. (C) 12. Toure A. 18. Munongo B. 8. Deminguet J. 3. Miguel F. 9. Abuashvili G. 11. Fall P. M.
Substitutes
10. Barka Y. 93. Bouleghcha I. 21. Chouchane S. 6. Diouf W. 9. Dong T. 46. Marie-Rose I. (G) 18. Ndezi B. 29. Ntamack A. 32. Puleri L.	88. Ba A. 19. Bokele M. 30. Dos Santos T. 33. Mbodji A. 4. Mboula M. 98. Mohamed I. 7. Sane I. 39. Song B. 61. Sy P. (G)
Coaches
Ridira B.	Proment G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Vargas-Rios H. ⚽, Bellon P. (A),
23', Ruiz J. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Lago E. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Tavares J. ⚽, Bellon P. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Deminguet J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Munongo B. ↓, Mbodji A. ↑,
62', Lago E. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
62', Vargas-Rios H. ↓, Ndezi B. ↑,
62', Miguel F. 🟨,
66', Miguel F. ↓, Bokele M. ↑,
66', Abuashvili G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Bernard Q. ⚽,
72', Devenish C. 🟨,
76', Tavares J. ↓, Dong T. ↑,
76', Lembezat A. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
84', Diallo B. ↓, Puleri L. ↑,
84', Sarr B. ↓, Song B. ↑,
84', Colin M. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
88', 4 - 2, Fall P. M. ⚽, Song B. (A),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Dijon: Aka Y. (Injury) Benyahya A. (Inactive) Meynadier T. (Inactive) Obongo C. (Ankle Injury) Rombogouera F. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Metz: Toure A. (Transfer negotiations).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Dijon has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dijon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 0.9:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Metz	9	3	4	2	15:13	2	13
9	Dijon	9	3	3	3	16:16	0	12

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Metz: 4.77% Dijon: 1.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Annecy - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dijon - Laval	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Clermont - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLT
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Annecy - Metz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Metz - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0
27.08.22	Metz - Dijon	1:2
French Ligue 1
02.05.21	Dijon - Metz	1:5
08.11.20	Metz - Dijon	1:1
26.04.20	Metz - Dijon	Canceled
21.12.19	Dijon - Metz	2:2
13.01.18	Dijon - Metz	1:1

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