Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 36

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadium (Dordrecht)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)


	Dordrecht		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	8	6	1.3
	8.25	5.5	1.28
	9.5	6.1	1.24
	9.22	5.97	1.31
	10	5	1.25
	9.1	5.9	1.29	Watch
	8	5.6	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.87 ↑ (6.12)	5.72 ↑ (5.08)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
10.6%

Draw
16.3%

Heracles Almelo
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

18.4%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

17.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Dordrecht - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Dordrecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heracles is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Heracles is absolute favorite.

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Camara B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.04.23	Zwolle - Dordrecht	4:0 ✺
21.04.23	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
03.04.23	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.04.23	Heracles Almelo - Jong PSV	3:0 ✺
21.04.23	Helmond Sport - Heracles Almelo	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Heracles Almelo - Roda	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo	5:3 ✺
31.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.12.22	Heracles Almelo - Dordrecht	8:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.19	Heracles Almelo - Dordrecht	3:0
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.15	Dordrecht - Heracles Almelo	2:3
12.12.14	Heracles Almelo - Dordrecht	1:1

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