Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Dordrecht		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.4
	6.1	4.6	1.44	Watch
	5.8	4.7	1.42
	6.63	4.95	1.47
	6	4.33	1.4	Watch
	6.55	5.05	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (6.21)	4.64 ↑ (4.62)	1.42 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
14.8%

Draw
20%

NEC Nijmegen
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

20%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

11.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dordrecht - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Recent matches Dordrecht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nijmegen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nijmegen is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dordrecht won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.20	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	3:1 ✺
19.11.20	Telstar - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Dordrecht - De Graafschap	0:2 ✺
09.11.20	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 WWLLL
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.20	Den Bosch - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
30.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
23.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3 ✺
20.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	1:1 ✺
06.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.09.19	Dordrecht - NEC Nijmegen	2:0
01.03.19	Dordrecht - NEC Nijmegen	2:2
31.08.18	NEC Nijmegen - Dordrecht	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	NEC Nijmegen - Dordrecht	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.04.18	Dordrecht - NEC Nijmegen	3:3
01.12.17	NEC Nijmegen - Dordrecht	6:0

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