Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Telstar		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.8
	1.75	4	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.89	4.16
	1.84	3.77	3.88	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.84	3.76	Watch
	1.75	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.94)	3.81 ↓ (3.82)	3.94 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
51.6%

Draw
24.6%

Dordrecht
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

24.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Telstar - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 12. Overtoom T. 25. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 14. Kaandorp M. 9. El Kachati Y.	63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. 16. Seydoux L. 17. Akmum R. 5. Hilton J. 6. van Vianen D. 8. Parlanti G. 20. van der Sluijs J. 10. Schuurman J. 28. Slory J. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 20. Houweling J. (G) 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R.	23. Afaker M. 13. Baltussen T. (G) 41. Berger M. (G) 4. Drakpe A. 24. Igor 14. Olde Keizer C. 19. Sanne T. 21. Sunderland L. 12. Tabiri K. . van de Giessen L. 22. Verdonk S. 18. Vugts S.
Coaches
Correia A.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kaandorp M. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
18', Overtoom T. ↓, Offerhaus G. ↑,
20', Haen D. 🟨,
20', Boel M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Noslin T. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Hetli S. (A),
45+2', 4 - 0, Owusu T. ⚽, El Kachati Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 5 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Hetli S. (A),
61', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
62', Hardeveld J. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
62', Akmum R. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
62', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
62', Parlanti G. ↓, Tabiri K. ↑,
62', Slory J. ↓, Sanne T. ↑,
73', Owusu T. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
73', El Kachati Y. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
73', Schuurman J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
79', Turfkruier J. 🟨,
84', Valk S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 1.

Recent matches Telstar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dordrecht in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Telstar will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Berger M. (Surgery) Kriwak R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Scholte B. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Telstar won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:20 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.03.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Telstar - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
14.02.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	6:0 ✺
31.01.25	Cambuur - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.02.25	Dordrecht - Emmen	3:0 ✺
24.02.25	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Dordrecht - Roda	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Dordrecht - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	3:2
08.03.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	2:0
15.12.23	Telstar - Dordrecht	0:2
21.01.23	Dordrecht - Telstar	0:0
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Dordrecht - Telstar	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.10.22	Telstar - Dordrecht	2:2
18.03.22	Telstar - Dordrecht	1:0

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