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Elche - Celta de Vigo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)
  • Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Elche Celta de Vigo
    Elche Celta de Vigo
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 2.9 3.3 2.48
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.94 ↑
    (2.77)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.49 ↓
    (2.51)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Elche
    32.5%    		Draw
    29.3%    		Celta de Vigo
    38.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    34.3% 27.9% 37.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    34.4% 28% 37.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    42.9% 42.9% 14.3%

    Elche - Celta de Vigo Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Celta will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 19.1% – 73.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ArgentinaDituro M. (C)
    22. SpainSanchez R.
    47. SpainMorcillo J.
    23. SpainChust V.
      3. IsraelRevivo R.
    11. SpainValera G.
    18. FranceLemar T.
    12. SpainVillar G.
      8. SpainAguado M.
    20. SpainTete Morente
    14. SpainNino F.
    		13. RomaniaRadu I. (G)
    15. SpainNunez A.
    18. SpainLago Y.
      3. SpainAlonso M. (C)
    17. SpainRueda J.
      6. GuineaMoriba I.
    14. SpainFebas A.
    22. SpainGalan J.
      9. SpainJutgla F.
    11. SpainDuran P.
    23. SpainAlvarez H.
    Substitutes
    26. CroatiaBarzic M.
      6. SpainBigas P.
    10. ArgentinaBuonanotte F.
    21. ChileCepeda L.
    19. DRDiangana G.
    13. SpainIturbe A. (G)
    17. SpainJosan
    15. ArgentinaLomonaco K.
    16. PortugalNeto M.
    24. ArgentinaOsorio A.
    30. SpainPadilla A.
      9. ArgentinaPonce E.
    		10. SpainAspas I.
      1. TurkeyBayindir A. (G)
    30. SpainBurcio H.
    21. UruguayCaceres S.
      5. SpainCarreira S.
    24. MoroccoDriouech C.
      4. SenegalFaye A.
    16. SpainGonzalez H.
      7. SpainIglesias B.
    20. SpainRodriguez J.
    19. SwedenSwedberg W.
    25. SpainVillar I. (G)
    Coaches
         ArgentinaAnselmi M.
    		     SpainGiraldez C.

    Preview

  • A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2 and 15th).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.
  • Recent results have been tough for Elche (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Performances by Celta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
  • Confirmed absences for Elche: Redondo Solari F. (Red Card) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Celta: Antanon A. (Ankle Injury) El Abdellaoui J. (Knee Injury) Roman M. (Knee Injury) Starfelt C. (Injury).
  • In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Elche against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.9 per game).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Celta Vigo: 0.14% Elche: 0.14%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    15Celta Vigo71428:627
    18Elche712411:17-65

    Last Results with these Odds

    Elche - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

    Celta de Vigo - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.09.26 Espanyol - Elche 1:3 ✺
    15.09.26 Elche - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    12.09.26 Athletic Bilbao - Elche 1:1 ✺
    07.09.26 Elche - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺
    28.08.26 Racing Santander - Elche 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9
    WLTLL
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    19.09.26 Celta de Vigo - Racing Santander 5:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    16.09.26 Omonia - Celta de Vigo 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.09.26 Celta de Vigo - Málaga 1:1 ✺
    07.09.26 Getafe - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    03.09.26 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    WLTTT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    03.05.26 Celta de Vigo - Elche 3:1
    28.09.25 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    26.04.23 Celta de Vigo - Elche 1:0
    06.01.23 Elche - Celta de Vigo 0:1
    15.05.22 Celta de Vigo - Elche 1:0
    03.10.21 Elche - Celta de Vigo 1:0
    12.02.21 Celta de Vigo - Elche 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    17.10.26 Villarreal - Elche ✺
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.10.26 Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Celta de Vigo - Juventus ✺

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