Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Emelec		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.55	3.3	2.04
	3.45	3.25	2.07
	3.67	3.56	2.08
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.58	3.35	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.91)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
26.8%

Draw
27.8%

Palmeiras
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

28.5%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	20%	46.7%

Emelec - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Emelec is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Palmeiras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emelec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Palmeiras will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.04.22	Emelec - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
21.04.22	Cumbayá - Emelec	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.22	Emelec - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTT
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Palmeiras - Corinthians	3:0 ✺
20.04.22	Flamengo - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Palmeiras - Independiente Petroleros	8:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.04.22	Palmeiras - Ceará	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWL

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