The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 27.9%
Draw 24.6%
Excelsior 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.6%
19.3%
67%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
18.7%
65.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Ajax's performance.
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Jong Ajax - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Setford C. (G) 2. van de Pavert R. 3. Verschuren N. 4. Kaplan A. 5. Janse D. 8. Steur S. 6. Verkuijl M. 10. Bounida R. 7. Faberski J. 9. Rijkhoff J. 11. Chourak N.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 3. Pierie K. 12. Zagre A. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 24. Eijgenraam J. 23. Hatenboer C. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R. 21. Donkor J.
Substitutes
. Boerhout Y. . Brandes J. . Butera E. . Chahid R. . Jetten L. . Kalokoh D. . Reverson P. (G) . Speksnijder R. . Ugwu P. . Vink S.
33. Bergraaf J. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Martens N. 16. Mattheij J. 28. Middendorp S. 14. Rosario R. 29. van Duinen M. 4. Warmerdam D.
Coaches
Peereboom F.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, van de Pavert R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Steur S. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
46', Janse D. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
50', Sanches Fernandes D. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Kaplan A. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Bounida R. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Bronkhorst I. ⚽,
61', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
64', Donkor J. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
72', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
72', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
72', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ugwu P. ↑,
74', Raatsie C. 🟨,
81', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Vink S. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
85', Zagre A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
85', Fini S. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
90+5', Bergraaf J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 1.
Recent matches Houston Christian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
SE Louisiana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Houston Christian have a series of guest games.
Recently SE Louisiana have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 875:932 (average 72.9:77.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Houston Christian won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 436:468 (average 72.7:78).
Finland
Netherlands
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Setford C. (G) 
van de Pavert R. 
Kaplan A. 
Bounida R. 
Faberski J. 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Fini S. 
Rosario R. 
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