Match Info

Date: 1 January 2022, Saturday


	Sutton United		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.3	3.35	3.15
	2.11	3.3	3.3
	2.33	3.41	3.22
	2.37	3.2	3
	2.38	3.35	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	3.15 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
41.5%

Draw
28.5%

Exeter City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

21.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sutton United - Exeter City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 8).

Sutton has the most likely position - 5 (8.22%), has project points - 71, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Exeter has the most likely position - 4 (8.24%), has project points - 70, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Sutton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Exeter is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
18.12.21	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
11.12.21	Bradford City - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
07.12.21	Newport County - Sutton United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Sutton United - Stevenage Borough	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW
- Exeter City
English League Two
11.12.21	Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
07.12.21	Exeter City - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Exeter City - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
English League Two
27.11.21	Rochdale - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.09.21	Exeter City - Sutton United	2:0

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