Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.6	3.6	1.73
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	5	3.73	1.78
	4.98	3.72	1.76
	4.5	3.6	1.7
	4.65	3.74	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)	3.65 ↓ (3.74)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Exeter City
20.2%

Draw
25.8%

Portsmouth
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.5%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	10.5%	84.2%

Exeter City - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sinisalo V. (G) 4. Aimson W. 39. Diabate C. 5. Hartridge A. 21. Rankine D. 6. Carroll T. 12. Cole R. (C) 3. Jules Z. 29. Aitchison J. 14. Niskanen I. 19. Cox S.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 8. Robertson A. 7. Pack M. (C) 11. Whyte G. 24. Devlin T. 32. Lane P. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
16. Kite H. 30. MacDonald S. (G) 47. Richards J. 11. Scott J. 26. Sweeney P. 23. Taylor K.	25. Kamara A. 16. Morrell J. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 10. Scully A. 4. Towler R. 19. Yengi K.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
26.12.23	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
22.12.23	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Exeter City - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
28.11.23	Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTLT
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.12.23	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:5 ✺
English League One
16.12.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
11.12.23	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.08.23	Portsmouth - Exeter City	1:0
21.01.23	Portsmouth - Exeter City	2:0
26.12.22	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0
English EFL Trophy
07.01.22	Exeter City - Portsmouth	2:3
18.02.20	Portsmouth - Exeter City	3:2
English League Two
28.01.17	Portsmouth - Exeter City	0:1
27.08.16	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:1

Upcoming Matches