Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, Disney+
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Action
North Central America	—	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Action
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	FCSB		Lyon

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.9
	4.1	3.3	1.95
	4	3.6	1.95	Watch
	4.18	3.6	1.93
	4.09	3.39	1.96	Watch
	4	3.3	1.95
	4.22	3.83	1.93
	4	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.87)	3.52 ↓ (3.84)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
23.4%

Draw
27.3%

Lyon
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

25%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

25.4%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	24.6%	68.4%

FCSB - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). Lyon will win (votes: 38 - 74.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 62.5% – 86.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 17. Popescu M. 30. Ngezana S. 5. Dawa J. 33. Radunovic R. 42. Alhassan B. 8. Sut A. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 18. Edjouma M. 31. Cisotti J. 7. Tanase F.	23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 31. Matic N. 15. Tessmann T. 18. Cherki R. 37. Nuamah E. 69. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
25. Baluta A. 21. Chiriches V. 77. Gheorghita A. 29. Musi A. 15. Stefanescu M. 22. Toma M. 1. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)	16. Abner Vinicius 4. Akouokou P. 32. Almada T. 55. Caleta-Car D. 40. Descamps R. (G) 50. Diarra L. (G) 11. Fofana M. 20. Kumbedi S. 10. Lacazette A. 29. Molebe E. 27. Omari W. 7. Veretout J.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Sut A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Tagliafico N. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alhassan B. ↓, Chiriches V. ↑,
46', Cisotti J. ↓, Gheorghita A. ↑,
46', Edjouma M. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
47', Miculescu D. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Baluta A. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
68', Nuamah E. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
68', Mikautadze G. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
76', Tessmann T. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
76', Matic N. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
77', Tanase F. ↓, Musi A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Fofana M. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
89', 1 - 3, Fofana M. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
90', Miculescu D. ↓, Stefanescu M. ↑,
90+2', Tolisso C. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

FCSB in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lyon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FCSB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is a favorite.

There will not play in FCSB: Baeten W. (Inactive) Birligea D. (Muscle Injury) Cretu V. (Yellow Cards) Lixandru M. (Muscle Injury) Olaru D. (Shoulder Injury) Pantea A. (Muscle Injury) Popescu O. (Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
02.03.25	Rapid Bucureşti - FCSB	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	FCSB - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	FCSB - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
16.02.25	Gloria Buzău - FCSB	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	PAOK - FCSB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
02.03.25	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Montpellier - Lyon	1:4 ✺
09.02.25	Lyon - Reims	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Olympique Marseille - Lyon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

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