Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Israel	Sport 1
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Famalicão		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.47	3.39	2.22
	3.35	3.39	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.15
	3.41	3.41	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.17)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	2.18 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
28.4%

Draw
28.3%

Braga
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

Famalicão - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Braga will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 16. De Haas J. 28. Pedro Bondo 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 20. Sa G. (C) 7. Sorriso 21. Zabiri Y.	1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 18. Victor P. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
55. Ba I. 12. Elisor S. 2. Garcia 77. Joujou A. 15. Mamageishvili O. 8. Pena M. 5. Rafa Soares 80. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 20. Dorgeles M. 9. El Ouazzani A. 27. Grillitsch F. 5. Lelo L. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 6. Vitor Carvalho 10. Zalazar R.
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Pinheiro R. (Own goal),
33', Sorriso 🟨,
39', Victor P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
45+2', Horta R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Moutinho J. 🟨,
54', Moutinho J. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
55', Navarro F. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
66', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Victor P. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
75', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
81', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
81', Pedro Bondo ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
87', Victor P. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
87', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Braga might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Famalicão: Abubakar U. (Inactive) Aranda O. (Knee Injury) Beney R. (Inactive) Pastor G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
29.11.25	Moreirense - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.25	Famalicão - Porto	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Nacional - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
01.12.25	Arouca - Braga	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Braga	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Braga - Nacional	4:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.25	Braga - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Braga - Genk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.04.25	Famalicão - Braga	1:1
16.12.24	Braga - Famalicão	3:3
18.01.24	Famalicão - Braga	1:2
11.08.23	Braga - Famalicão	1:2
05.02.23	Braga - Famalicão	4:1
12.08.22	Famalicão - Braga	0:3
15.05.22	Famalicão - Braga	3:2

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