Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fenerbahçe		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.4
	2.9	3.5	2.3
	2.85	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3.51	2.46
	2.92	3.62	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.38
	2.98	3.73	2.43
	2.85	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.4 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
33.2%

Draw
26.8%

Manchester United
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Fenerbahçe aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	25%	38.6%

Fenerbahçe - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 22.5% – 52.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 16. Muldur M. 6. Djiku A. 4. Soyuncu C. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 34. Amrabat S. 13. Fred 53. Szymanski S. 10. Tadic D. (C) 19. En Nesyri Y. 97. Saint-Maximin A.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 4. de Ligt M. 2. Lindelof V. 6. Martinez Li. (C) 14. Eriksen C. 25. Ugarte M. 10. Rashford M. 3. Mazraoui N. 17. Garnacho A. 11. Zirkzee J.
Substitutes
3. Akaydin S. 95. Akcicek Y. 54. Cetin E. (G) 42. Dursun M. 9. Dzeko E. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 17. Kahveci I. C. 50. Rodrigo Becao 81. Tograk S. 23. Tosun C. 8. Yandas M. 5. Yuksek I.	41. Amass H. 21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 18. Casemiro 16. Diallo A. 22. Heaton T. (G) 9. Hojlund R. 66. Ogunneye H. 36. Wheatley E.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	ten Hag E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Rashford M. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Eriksen C. ⚽, Zirkzee J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
55', Zirkzee J. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
55', Lindelof V. ↓, Casemiro ↑,
58', Mourinho J. 🟥,
60', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
62', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Rodrigo Becao ↑,
73', Rashford M. ↓, Antony ↑,
79', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
79', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
79', Tadic D. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
89', Antony ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
90', Szymanski S. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
90+2', Muldur M. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Egribayat I. (Knee Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Foot Injury) Under C. (Groin Injury) Yuksek I. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Calf Injury) Fernandes B. (Red Card) Maguire H. (Muscle Injury) Mainoo K. (Muscle Injury) Yoro L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Malacia T. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Head Injury) Shaw L. (Health problems)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
20.10.24	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Twente - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
29.09.24	Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWL
- Manchester United
English Premier League
19.10.24	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Aston Villa - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Porto - Manchester United	3:3 ✺
English Premier League
29.09.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Manchester United - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.11.16	Fenerbahçe - Manchester United	2:1
20.10.16	Manchester United - Fenerbahçe	4:1

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