Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport 254
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	ESPN
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	FuboTV, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Football
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Manchester United		Twente

	1	X	2
	1.25	7	9.5
	1.24	6.5	11
	1.25	6.5	12
	1.24	6.9	12.21
	1.22	6.45	12.87	Watch
	1.25	6.5	12
	1.25	7.24	12.6
	1.25	6.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	6.7 ↑ (5.53)	11.77 ↑ (8.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
77.4%

Draw
14.4%

Twente
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.3%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

15.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Manchester United - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 20. Dalot D. 25. Ugarte M. 14. Eriksen C. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Rashford M. 11. Zirkzee J.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 8. Regeer Y. 18. Vlap M. 14. Steijn S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C) 10. Lammers S. 7. van Bergen M.
Substitutes
21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 4. de Ligt M. 35. Evans J. 17. Garnacho A. 22. Heaton T. (G) 9. Hojlund R. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M.	41. Besselink G. 6. Eiting C. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 3. Lagerbielke G. 30. Ltaief S. 24. Mesbahi J. 11. Rots D. 39. Rots M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A.
Coaches
ten Hag E.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Bruns M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Eriksen C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Martinez Li. 🟨,
61', Steijn S. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
61', Vlap M. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
67', Diallo A. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Lammers S. ⚽,
74', van Bergen M. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
78', Lammers S. 🟨,
79', Eriksen C. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
79', Zirkzee J. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
79', Rashford M. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
83', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
83', Regeer Y. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
83', Lammers S. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Twente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man Utd is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Lindelof V. (Injury) Malacia T. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Health problems) Yoro L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mount M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Sadilek M. (Shin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
21.09.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.24	Manchester United - Barnsley	7:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Southampton - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
22.09.24	Almere City - Twente	0:5 ✺
17.09.24	Twente - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLT

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