Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 2
China	03:00	QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 254
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, RTK 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:00	ESPN
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	15:00	FuboTV, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Manchester United		Twente

	1	X	2
	1.25	7	9.5
	1.24	6.5	11
	1.25	6.5	12
	1.24	6.9	12.21
	1.22	6.45	12.87	Watch
	1.25	6.5	12
	1.25	7.24	12.6
	1.25	6.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	6.7 ↑ (5.53)	11.77 ↑ (8.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
77.4%

Draw
14.4%

Twente
8.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72%

17.3%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

15.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Manchester United - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 20. Dalot D. 25. Ugarte M. 14. Eriksen C. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Rashford M. 11. Zirkzee J.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 8. Regeer Y. 18. Vlap M. 14. Steijn S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C) 10. Lammers S. 7. van Bergen M.
Substitutes
21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 4. de Ligt M. 35. Evans J. 17. Garnacho A. 22. Heaton T. (G) 9. Hojlund R. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M.	41. Besselink G. 6. Eiting C. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 3. Lagerbielke G. 30. Ltaief S. 24. Mesbahi J. 11. Rots D. 39. Rots M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A.
Coaches
ten Hag E.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Bruns M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Eriksen C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Martinez Li. 🟨,
61', Steijn S. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
61', Vlap M. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
67', Diallo A. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Lammers S. ⚽,
74', van Bergen M. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
78', Lammers S. 🟨,
79', Eriksen C. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
79', Zirkzee J. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
79', Rashford M. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
83', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
83', Regeer Y. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
83', Lammers S. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Twente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man Utd is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Lindelof V. (Injury) Malacia T. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Health problems) Yoro L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mount M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Sadilek M. (Shin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
21.09.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.24	Manchester United - Barnsley	7:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Southampton - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
22.09.24	Almere City - Twente	0:5 ✺
17.09.24	Twente - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLT

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