Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 6h 35m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:45	Begin
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	15:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	02:45	MyTV
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	03:45	Migu
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	14:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4
India	01:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Iraq	22:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	00:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Paraguay	16:45	ESPN 2
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Fiorentina		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.60	2.88
	2.25	3.70	2.95
	2.25	3.55	2.95
	2.36	3.76	3.01
	2.27	3.65	2.99	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.95
	2.35	3.84	3.04
	2.22	3.70	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.31)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
41.9%

Draw
25.9%

Atalanta
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	30.4%	30.4%

Fiorentina - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Atalanta will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 19.2% – 59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie B and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.

Fiorentina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atalanta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atalanta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Fiorentina: Atta A. (Abdominal strain) Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Pongracic M. (Muscle Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atalanta: Bellanova R. (Thigh Injury) Hien I. (Muscle Injury) Kessie F. (Calf Injury) Kolasinac S. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fiorentina: Ranieri L. (Leg Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atalanta: Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana K. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:35 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fiorentina against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10
19	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.47% Fiorentina: 0.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
25.10.26	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
25.10.26	Atalanta - Frosinone	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Ajax - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Milan - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Atalanta - Paphos	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.05.26	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:1
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0
30.03.25	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0
15.09.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	3:2
02.06.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:3
Coppa Italia
24.04.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	4:1
03.04.24	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0

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