The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Flamengo 73.9%
Draw 18.4%
Grêmio 7.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.7%
20.3%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74%
19.1%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
0%
7.7%
Flamengo - Grêmio Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Flamengo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 18. de la Cruz N. 8. Niguez S. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 50. Plata G. 9. Pedro 16. Samuel Lino
1. Tiago Volpi (G) 14. Marcos Rocha 19. Noriega E. 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 23. Marlon 6. Cuellar G. 17. Dodi 8. Edenilson 99. Olivera C. 22. Braithwaite M. 95. Carlos Vinicius
Substitutes
29. Allan 27. Bruno Henrique 15. Carrascal J. 13. Danilo 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Michael 17. Vina M. 64. Wallace Yan
77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 10. Cristaldo F. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 40. Jardiel 21. Jemerson 25. Lucas Esteves 43. Luis Eduardo 7. Pavon C. 44. Viery 3. Wagner Leonardo
Coaches
Filipe Luis
Mano Menezes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
45', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
58', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
60', Braithwaite M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
60', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
64', Dodi 🟨,
65', Edenilson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
77', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
77', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
78', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
78', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Tiago Volpi (Pen),
90', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
Flamengo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Grêmio: Alex Santana
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Grêmio: Fabian Balbuena
(Injury)
Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:17. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
Brazil
China
Mexico
Watch
#ad
Rossi A. (G) 
Varela G. 
Leo Ortiz 
Niguez S. 
Plata G. 
Noriega E. 
Cuellar G. 
Braithwaite M. 
Aravena A. 
