Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8
	2	3.3	3.6
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.46	3.94
	2.04	3.46	3.94
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.03	3.46	3.62	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.89)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	3.71 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
46.9%

Draw
27.7%

Stevenage Borough
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

30.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 25. Kamara A. 16. Morrell J. 8. Robertson A. 7. Pack M. (C) 32. Lane P. 9. Bishop C.	1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 2. Wildin L. 6. Sweeney D. 5. Piergianni C. 3. Butler D. 9. List E. 23. Thompson L. 10. Freeman N. 17. Burns F. 11. Roberts J. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 10. Scully A. 14. Stevenson B. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.	8. Forster-Caskey J. 12. Hegyi K. (G) 29. Hemmings K. 7. MacDonald A. 20. Pressley A. 24. Thompson B. 4. Thompson N.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Evans S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 3.

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stevenage is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stevenage could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portsmouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
29.12.23	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.12.23	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:5 ✺
English League One
16.12.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLTLW
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
26.12.23	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Port Vale - Stevenage Borough	3:4 penalties ✺
English League One
09.12.23	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:0
English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	3:0
English League Cup
29.08.20	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:4 penalties
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:1
14.07.18	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:2
English League Two
18.03.17	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:0
26.11.16	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	1:2

Upcoming Matches