Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.6	4.09	5.91
	1.6	4.1	5.91
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.6	4	5.46	Watch
	1.57	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	4.02 ↑ (3.76)	5.67 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
59.8%

Draw
23.5%

Leyton Orient
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Portsmouth - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 25. Kamara A. 16. Morrell J. 15. Saydee C. 7. Pack M. (C) 32. Lane P. 9. Bishop C.	1. Brynn S. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 2. James T. 17. Forde S. 8. Brown J. 23. Sanders M. H. 15. El Mizouni I. 11. Archibald T. 7. Agyei D.
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 26. Lowery T. 13. Macey M. (G) 29. Martin J. 10. Scully A. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.	27. Byrne R. (G) 14. Moncur G. 9. Pigott J. 18. Pratley D. 10. Sotiriou R. 3. Sweeney J. 4. Turns E.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Wellens R.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 5.

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
06.01.24	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTLT
- Leyton Orient
English League One
01.01.24	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	1:2
English League One
12.08.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:4
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	2:5
English League Two
14.01.17	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	2:1
08.10.16	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:1
06.02.16	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	0:1
26.12.15	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	3:2

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