Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 38

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Frosinone		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
	2.52	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.6	3.2	3.05
	2.6	3.2	3.03
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.72	3.04	3.15	Watch
	2.54	3.2	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.31)	3.16 ↓ (3.36)	2.99 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
37.5%

Draw
30.4%

Udinese
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.8%	54.5%	23.6%

Frosinone - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). Udinese will win (votes: 13 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 52.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.4% – 66.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 20. Lirola P. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 5. Okoli C. 19. Zortea N. 45. Barrenechea E. 4. Brescianini M. 32. Valeri E. 18. Soule M. 21. Harroui A. 70. Cheddira W.	40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 29. Bijol J. 18. Perez N. 19. Ehizibue K. 24. Samardzic L. 11. Walace (C) 32. Payero M. 12. Kamara H. 17. Lucca L. 22. Brenner
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 33. Bonifazi K. 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 14. Gelli F. 29. Ghedjemis F. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 17. Kvernadze G. 3. Marchizza R. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 36. Mazzitelli L. 30. Monterisi I. 37. Palmisani L. (G) 12. Reinier	14. Abankwah J. 9. Davis K. 2. Ebosele F. 13. Ferreira J. 30. Giannetti L. 27. Kabasele C. 70. Mosca F. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 37. Pereyra R. 26. Thauvin F. 16. Tikvic A. 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Cannavaro F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brenner ↓, Davis K. ↑,
58', Ehizibue K. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
66', Perez N. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Davis K. ⚽, Lucca L. (A),
78', Davis K. 🟨,
85', Lirola P. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
86', Harroui A. ↓, Reinier ↑,
86', Soule M. ↓, Ghedjemis F. ↑,
87', Kamara H. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
88', Brescianini M. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
90+5', Zortea N. ↓, Monterisi I. ↑,
90+6', Davis K. ↓, Kabasele C. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Frosinone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.05.24	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Frosinone - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
05.05.24	Empoli - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Torino - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWT
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.05.24	Udinese - Empoli	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Lecce - Udinese	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1 ✺
25.04.24	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.09.23	Udinese - Frosinone	0:0
12.05.19	Frosinone - Udinese	1:3
22.12.18	Udinese - Frosinone	1:1
Coppa Italia
12.08.17	Udinese - Frosinone	3:2
Italian Serie A
06.03.16	Frosinone - Udinese	2:0
25.10.15	Udinese - Frosinone	1:0

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