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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 18.6%
Draw 23.8%
Fulham 57.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
24.8%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
24.8%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Queens Park Rangers - Fulham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
QPR has the most likely position - 11 (14.4%), has project points - 68, has currently - 59, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (90.57%), has project points - 94, has currently - 77, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (91%).
This event has quality51, importance32, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches QPR won 0.
QPR is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fulham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fulham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Fulham have a series of guest games.
In this match Fulham is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches QPR won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-28.
Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.