Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Craven Cottage (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:45	TNT
Australia	06:45	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	20:45	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Laos	02:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:45	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:45	Sky Sport 2
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	21:45	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	02:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:45	TRT Spor
United Kingdom	19:45	BBC Radio 5 Live
Usa	14:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	19:45	Disney+


	Fulham		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	9
	1.29	5.75	9.75
	1.3	5.5	11	Watch
	1.29	5.48	8.98
	1.28	5.66	9.28	Watch
	1.29	5	10
	1.28	5.8	10.5	Watch
	1.3	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	5.56 ↑ (5.41)	9.94 ↑ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
73.5%

Draw
17%

Watford
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.5%

17.4%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

16.3%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

Fulham - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Benda S. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 15. Cuenca J. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A. 18. Pereira A. (C) 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	23. Bond J. (C) 45. Andrews R. 5. Porteous R. 21. Ogbonna A. 15. Tikvic A. 37. Larouci Y. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 14. Dwomoh P. 11. Vata R. 20. Doumbia M.
Substitutes
3. Bassey C. 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 47. Godo M. 7. Jimenez R. 24. King J. 1. Leno B. (G) 6. Reed H. 8. Wilson H.	34. Baah K. 19. Bayo V. 8. Chakvetadze G. 10. Louza I. 22. Morris J. 61. Nabizada A. 40. Roberts M. (G) 3. Sierralta F. 17. Sissoko M.
Coaches
Silva M.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Kayembe E. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Muniz ⚽, Traore A. (A),
31', Dwomoh P. ↓, Louza I. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Vata R. ⚽, Tikvic A. (A),
38', Cuenca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Jimenez R. (Pen),
65', 3 - 1, Andersen J. ⚽, Pereira A. (A),
66', Andersen J. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
66', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
66', Iwobi A. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
67', Vata R. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
67', Ince T. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
76', Lukic S. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Castagne T. ⚽, Godo M. (A),
89', Doumbia M. ↓, Nabizada A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Fulham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fulham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fulham is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fulham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.5:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWTT
- Watford FC
English League Championship
04.01.25	Watford - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Queens Park Rangers - Watford	3:1 ✺
29.12.24	Watford - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Watford - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Burnley - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.04.19	Watford - Fulham	4:1
22.09.18	Fulham - Watford	1:1
English League Championship
03.03.15	Watford - Fulham	1:0
05.12.14	Fulham - Watford	0:5

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