Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	TNT
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	TRT Spor
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Fulham		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	9
	1.29	5.75	9.75
	1.3	5.5	11	Watch
	1.29	5.48	8.98
	1.28	5.66	9.28	Watch
	1.29	5	10
	1.28	5.8	10.5	Watch
	1.3	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	5.56 ↑ (5.41)	9.94 ↑ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
73.5%

Draw
17%

Watford
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

17.4%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

Fulham - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Benda S. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 15. Cuenca J. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A. 18. Pereira A. (C) 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	23. Bond J. (C) 45. Andrews R. 5. Porteous R. 21. Ogbonna A. 15. Tikvic A. 37. Larouci Y. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 14. Dwomoh P. 11. Vata R. 20. Doumbia M.
Substitutes
3. Bassey C. 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 47. Godo M. 7. Jimenez R. 24. King J. 1. Leno B. (G) 6. Reed H. 8. Wilson H.	34. Baah K. 19. Bayo V. 8. Chakvetadze G. 10. Louza I. 22. Morris J. 61. Nabizada A. 40. Roberts M. (G) 3. Sierralta F. 17. Sissoko M.
Coaches
Silva M.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Kayembe E. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Muniz ⚽, Traore A. (A),
31', Dwomoh P. ↓, Louza I. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Vata R. ⚽, Tikvic A. (A),
38', Cuenca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Jimenez R. (Pen),
65', 3 - 1, Andersen J. ⚽, Pereira A. (A),
66', Andersen J. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
66', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
66', Iwobi A. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
67', Vata R. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
67', Ince T. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
76', Lukic S. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Castagne T. ⚽, Godo M. (A),
89', Doumbia M. ↓, Nabizada A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Fulham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fulham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fulham is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fulham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.5:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWTT
- Watford FC
English League Championship
04.01.25	Watford - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Queens Park Rangers - Watford	3:1 ✺
29.12.24	Watford - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Watford - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Burnley - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.04.19	Watford - Fulham	4:1
22.09.18	Fulham - Watford	1:1
English League Championship
03.03.15	Watford - Fulham	1:0
05.12.14	Fulham - Watford	0:5

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