What is the expert prediction for Genoa vs Parma?

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Genoa vs Parma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, October 19, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Genoa		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.75	Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.94
	2.30	2.79	3.69	Watch
	2.31	2.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.08)	2.9 ↓ (3.22)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
41.7%

Draw
33%

Parma
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

30.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	51.7%	17.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 51.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.5% – 69.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Parma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Parma (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Parma (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 20. Sabelli S. 73. Masini P. 32. Frendrup M. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 17. Malinovskyi R. 9. Vitinha 18. Ekuban C.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 3. Ndiaye A. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 8. Estevez N. 11. Almqvist P. 32. Cutrone P. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
23. Carboni V. 29. Colombo L. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 3. Martin A. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.	19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L.
Coaches
Vieira P.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
37', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
42', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
43', Bernabe A. ↓, Valenti L. ↑,
45', Britschgi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabelli S. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
46', Almqvist P. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
58', Vitinha ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
60', Estevez N. 🟨,
66', Frendrup M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
66', Ekuban C. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
70', Colombo L. 🟨,
79', Cutrone P. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
81', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
87', Estevez N. ↓, Troilo M. ↑,
87', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
90+5', Troilo M. 🟨,
90+6', Cornet M. (Pen),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3.

Recent form of Genoa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Genoa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Thigh Injury) Stanciu N. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Valeri E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury) Valenti L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Parma - Spezia	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Cremonese - Parma	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0
04.11.24	Parma - Genoa	0:1
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3
Italian Serie A
19.03.21	Parma - Genoa	1:2
30.11.20	Genoa - Parma	1:2
23.06.20	Genoa - Parma	1:4

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