Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Sunderland		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9.5
	1.41	4.4	7.5
	1.43	4.5	7.75
	1.39	4.4	7.4
	1.41	4.77	8.29
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.44	4.75	8.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	4.52 ↑ (4.18)	8.11 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
67.3%

Draw
21%

Gillingham
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4%)

Sunderland - Gillingham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sunderland has the most likely position - 7 (22.88%), has project points - 78, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Gillingham has the most likely position - 20 (41.19%), has project points - 42, has currently - 37, has a chance of relegated (32%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 14, importance 43, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 0.

Sunderland is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sunderland is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sunderland to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
19.03.22	Lincoln City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
08.03.22	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWTW
- Gillingham FC
English League One
26.03.22	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Gillingham - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
15.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Gillingham - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.10.21	Gillingham - Sunderland	1:2
30.01.21	Sunderland - Gillingham	2:2
31.10.20	Gillingham - Sunderland	0:2
07.03.20	Sunderland - Gillingham	2:2
07.12.19	Gillingham - Sunderland	1:0
English FA Cup
19.11.19	Gillingham - Sunderland	1:0 ET
09.11.19	Sunderland - Gillingham	1:1

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