Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Gillingham		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	4.5	3.5	1.77
	4.75	3.5	1.8
	4.4	3.6	1.74
	4.8	3.87	1.76
	4.4	3.5	1.72
	4.8	3.94	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.27)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
20.6%

Draw
25.8%

Sunderland
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.3%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gillingham - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gillingham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League One
09.10.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Gillingham - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
English League One
02.10.21	Gillingham - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Cambridge United - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Oxford United - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT
- Sunderland AFC
English EFL Trophy
13.10.21	Sunderland - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
05.10.21	Lincoln City - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English League One
02.10.21	Portsmouth - Sunderland	4:0 ✺
28.09.21	Sunderland - Cheltenham Town	5:0 ✺
25.09.21	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.01.21	Sunderland - Gillingham	2:2
31.10.20	Gillingham - Sunderland	0:2
07.03.20	Sunderland - Gillingham	2:2
07.12.19	Gillingham - Sunderland	1:0
English FA Cup
19.11.19	Gillingham - Sunderland	1:0 ET
09.11.19	Sunderland - Gillingham	1:1
English League One
19.02.19	Sunderland - Gillingham	4:2

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