Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Lincoln City		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.6	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2.03
	3.8	3.54	2.05
	3.6	3.3	2.05
	3.54	3.58	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.14)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
26.3%

Draw
27.8%

Sunderland
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.5%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lincoln City - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lincoln has the most likely position - 18 (19.91%), has project points - 53, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Sunderland has the most likely position - 7 (20.57%), has project points - 79, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, small importance 16, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

Recent matches Lincoln is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunderland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
15.03.22	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	AFC Wimbledon - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
08.03.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Lincoln City - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
12.03.22	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
08.03.22	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
22.02.22	Sunderland - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.01.22	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:3
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Lincoln City - Sunderland	1:2
English League One
22.05.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	2:1
19.05.21	Lincoln City - Sunderland	2:0
20.03.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:1
English EFL Trophy
17.02.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	2:1 penalties
English League One
12.12.20	Lincoln City - Sunderland	0:4

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