Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.6	3.15	4.7
	1.62	3.5	5.35	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.54	5.48
	1.6	3.15	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.01)	5.1 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
55.9%

Draw
26.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. 10. Jardi J. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 22. Narro V. 17. Fernandez P. 11. Fernandez M.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 17. Chupo 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 11. Astray P. 16. Sanz R. 19. Davo 20. Tellechea I.
Substitutes
9. Antonin 23. Concha D. 6. Gorostidi A. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 16. Lopez A. . Miguel 3. Perez G. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 2. Vicens B.	10. Borrego J. 1. Carmona P. (G) 25. Changyi L. (G) 22. De La Mata J. 28. Garcia G. 9. Gomez D. 26. Marcos H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Fernandez P. ⚽,
27', Lopez D. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Fernandez P. ⚽,
43', Juan Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Jardi J. ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, Dufur U. ⚽,
56', Olmedilla M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
56', Astray P. ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
56', Juan Silva ↓, De La Mata J. ↑,
64', Fernandez M. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
64', Fernandez P. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
64', Narro V. ↓, Antonin ↑,
65', 5 - 0, Concha D. ⚽,
67', Sanz R. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
67', Lopez D. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,
70', Jardi J. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
79', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 10).

Gimnàstic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

G Segoviana is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zamora	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lugo	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTWL

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