Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.75
	4.2	3.5	1.68
	4.3	3.45	1.79
	4.21	3.7	1.75
	4.53	3.27	1.78	Watch
	4.74	3.16	1.85
	4.3	3.45	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (4.21)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
20.9%

Draw
27.3%

Leonesa
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

27.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: Leonesa will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 18. Cespedes M. 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 11. Astray P. 8. Diaz H. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Farrell J.	1. Banuz M. (G) 18. Lanchi 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 16. Maestre S. 6. Presa K. 21. Artola J. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
23. Ferreiroa F. 9. Gomez D. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 3. Molina S. 6. Olmedilla M. 31. Perez M. 33. Postigo A. (G) 20. Tellechea I.	20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 8. Barri 14. Bicho 19. Escobar A. 31. Martinez I. 12. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 4. Rodri Suarez 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Juan Silva 🟨,
23', Astray P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Pascual A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Maestre S. ↓, Bicho ↑,
58', Artola J. ↓, Barri ↑,
58', Calderon C. ↓, Pibe ↑,
63', Presa K. 🟨,
64', Presa K. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
67', Diaz H. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
67', Farrell J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
72', Lanchi ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
77', Barri 🟨,
78', Astray P. ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
78', Llorente F. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,
89', Berlanga M. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,
90+3', Pibe 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

G Segoviana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches G Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.35%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
08.02.25	Barcelona B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Leonesa - Zamora	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3

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