Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.75
	2.65	2.9	2.8
	2.75	2.83	2.85
	2.75	2.81	2.85
	2.61	3.03	2.82
	2.6	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.97)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	2.81 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
35%

Draw
32.3%

Ourense CF
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

31.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

32.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.24	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Arandina - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.03.24	Ourense CF - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Ourense CF	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ourense CF - Compostela	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Covadonga - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.04.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF	1:0
26.11.22	Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2

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