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Girona - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 17
  • Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Girona Atlético Madrid
    Girona Atlético Madrid
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 4.96 ↑
    (4.49)    		 3.85 ↓
    (3.9)    		 1.72 ↓
    (1.74)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Girona
    19.3%    		Draw
    24.9%    		Atlético Madrid
    55.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    21.1% 24.3% 54.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    20.9% 24% 55.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    2.9% 11.4% 85.7%

    Girona - Atlético Madrid Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - Atlético (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atlético (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (60 of 70 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.51% – 93.91%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 30 - 96.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. ArgentinaGazzaniga P. (G)
    16. SpainFrances A.
    12. BrazilVitor Reis
    17. NetherlandsBlind D.
    24. SpainMoreno A.
    15. UkraineTsygankov V.
      4. SpainMartinez A. (C)
    20. BelgiumWitsel A.
    23. SpainMartin I.
      3. SpainRoca J.
    19. UkraineVanat V.
    		13. SloveniaOblak J. (G)
    14. SpainLlorente M.
    18. SpainPubill M.
    17. SlovakiaHancko D.
      3. ItalyRuggeri M.
    20. ArgentinaSimeone G.
      6. SpainKoke (C)
      8. SpainBarrios P.
    23. ArgentinaGonzalez N.
      9. NorwaySorloth A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    Substitutes
    43. BulgariaAndreev A. (G)
    32. VenezuelaArango J.
    10. ColombiaAsprilla Y.
    44. SenegalBa P.
    21. SpainGil B.
    28. SpainJordana G.
    11. FranceLemar T.
      1. CroatiaLivakovic D. (G)
      2. SpainRincon H.
    22. ColombiaSolis Romero J. E.
    		11. ArgentinaAlmada T.
      5. USACardoso J.
    31. SpainEsquivel S. (G)
    21. SpainGalan J.
      4. EnglandGallagher C.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
    12. SpainMartin C.
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
    40. SerbiaPuric A.
    22. ItalyRaspadori G.
    Coaches
         SpainMichel
    		     ArgentinaSimeone D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 2)
    • 13', 0 - 1, Koke ⚽,
    • 24', Simeone D. 🟨,
    • 28', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
    • 38', 0 - 2, Gallagher C. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Roca J. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
    • 57', Martinez A. 🟨,
    • 61', Martinez A. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
    • 61', Frances A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
    • 71', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
    • 71', Tsygankov V. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
    • 77', Gallagher C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
    • 77', Alvarez J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
    • 78', Llorente M. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
    • 83', Sorloth A. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
    • 84', Lemar T. 🟨,
    • 90+2', 0 - 3, Griezmann A. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),

    Preview

  • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Atlético is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Ounahi A. (International duty) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • There will not play in Atlético: Baena A. (Hamstring Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Hamstring Injury) Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Atlético: Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.2:2.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga
    12.12.25 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:2 ✺
    07.12.25 Elche - Girona 3:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.12.25 Ourense CF - Girona 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.25 Girona - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    23.11.25 Betis - Girona 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7
    WLLTT
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    17.12.25 Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.12.25 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    09.12.25 PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.12.25 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    02.12.25 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7
    WWWLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    25.05.25 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:4
    25.08.24 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:0
    13.04.24 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:1
    03.01.24 Girona - Atlético Madrid 4:3
    13.03.23 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    08.10.22 Atlético Madrid - Girona 2:1
    02.04.19 Atlético Madrid - Girona 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga2
    12.10.26 Tenerife - Girona ✺
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    17.10.26 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺

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