Match Info

LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 1
Angola	14:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	15:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	17:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	08:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	16:00	UpTV
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	15:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	15:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Tajikistan	18:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Girona		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.7	3.95	1.75	Watch
	4.96	4.13	1.68
	4.84	3.94	1.75
	4.8	3.6	1.7
	5.42	3.87	1.7	Watch
	5	3.66	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.49)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
19.3%

Draw
24.9%

Atlético Madrid
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	11.4%	85.7%

Girona - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Atlético (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Atlético (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (60 of 70 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.51% – 93.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 30 - 96.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 24. Moreno A. 15. Tsygankov V. 4. Martinez A. (C) 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 3. Roca J. 19. Vanat V.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 23. Gonzalez N. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
43. Andreev A. (G) 32. Arango J. 10. Asprilla Y. 44. Ba P. 21. Gil B. 28. Jordana G. 11. Lemar T. 1. Livakovic D. (G) 2. Rincon H. 22. Solis Romero J. E.	11. Almada T. 5. Cardoso J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Galan J. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 24. Le Normand R. 12. Martin C. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 40. Puric A. 22. Raspadori G.
Coaches
Michel	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Koke ⚽,
24', Simeone D. 🟨,
28', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Gallagher C. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Roca J. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
57', Martinez A. 🟨,
61', Martinez A. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
61', Frances A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
71', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
71', Tsygankov V. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
77', Gallagher C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
77', Alvarez J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
78', Llorente M. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
83', Sorloth A. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
84', Lemar T. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Griezmann A. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético is the team to beat.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Ounahi A. (International duty) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Baena A. (Hamstring Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Hamstring Injury) Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
12.12.25	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Elche - Girona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Ourense CF - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLLTT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:4
25.08.24	Atlético Madrid - Girona	3:0
13.04.24	Atlético Madrid - Girona	3:1
03.01.24	Girona - Atlético Madrid	4:3
13.03.23	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:1
08.10.22	Atlético Madrid - Girona	2:1
02.04.19	Atlético Madrid - Girona	2:0

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