The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granada 68.6%
Draw 19.6%
Espanyol 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.1%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
26.1%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espanyol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-20.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.8%
5.2%
14%
Granada - Espanyol Predictions
Users Predictions:
Granada will win
(156 of 193 users predict this - 80.83%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.28% – 86.38%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
Granada has the most likely position - 16 (33.25%), has project points - 39, has currently - 37, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Espanyol has the most likely position - 14 (48.46%), has project points - 42, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality59, small importance21, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2.
Recent matches Granada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Espanyol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Espanyol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Granada is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Granada: Lozano N.
(Leg Injury)
Montoro A.
(Muscle Injury)
Neva C.
(Knee Injury)
Rochina R.
(Injury)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Espanyol: Bare K.
(Knee Injury)
Morlanes M.
(Injury)
Pedrosa A.
(Inactive)
de Tomas R.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Granada: Raba D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Espanyol: Gil O.
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Granada won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.
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