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Current Win Probability
Queens Park 14.8%
Draw 21.2%
St. Johnstone 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.1%
19.3%
69.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.7%
18.5%
72.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Johnstone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Johnstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
10%
50%
Queens Park - St. Johnstone Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Queens Park will win (votes: 4 - 40%). St. Johnstone will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Johnstone: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Queens Park (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Queens Park (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Queens Park (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (G) 22. Shiels M. 4. Murray E. (C) 3. Fieldson H. 12. Pignatiello C. 11. Connolly A. 7. Longridge L. 26. Martin S. 25. MacKenzie M. 27. Smith C. 28. Drozd S.
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 35. Forrester A. 18. Paton R. 7. Holt J. (C) 10. Gullan J. 42. McAlear R. 24. McPake J. 9. Fowler J.
Substitutes
20. Bradley J. 8. MacGregor R. 17. McDonnell T. 21. McLean R. 29. McLeish L. 9. Ruth M. 77. Todorov N. 16. Waugh R. 30. Wills J. (G)
27. Agyeman A. 15. Baird J. 21. Fotheringham K. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 11. Stanton S. 19. Steven T. 2. Tumilty R.
Coaches
Crighton S.
Valakari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Forrester A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Forrester A. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Fowler J. ⚽, McPake J. (A),
55', Paton R. ↓, Stanton S. ↑,
60', Smith C. ↓, Ruth M. ↑,
60', Drozd S. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
61', Longridge L. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
64', Martin S. 🟨,
70', MacKenzie M. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
75', Fowler J. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
75', McAlear R. ↓, Mallan S. ↑,
79', Gullan J. 🟨,
81', Gullan J. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
85', Agyeman A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Murray E. ⚽, MacGregor R. (A),
90+1', Boyes M. 🟥,
90+3', Pignatiello C. 🟨,
90+4', Connolly A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In recent matches, Queens Park has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
St. Johnstone is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St. Johnstone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Johnstone is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Queens Park won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Ferrie C. (G) 
Shiels M. 
Boyes M. 
Paton R. 
Todorov N. 
Agyeman A. 
Valakari S. 
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