Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Bayer Leverkusen		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.8
	2.3	3.7	2.8
	2.4	3.8	2.8
	2.35	3.5	2.85
	2.36	3.78	2.94
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.46	3.85	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
40.8%

Draw
25.9%

Atalanta
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

17.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	23.5%	29.4%

Bayer Leverkusen - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 32 - 47.1%). Atalanta will win (votes: 20 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 35.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Bayer was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Atalanta was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (65%), has a chance of semis (37%), has a chance of final (19%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has big quality 78, very big importance 100, big match rating 89. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Bayer is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atalanta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
13.03.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.03.22	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0 ✺
18.02.22	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
13.03.22	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.03.22	Roma - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
28.02.22	Atalanta - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2

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