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Current Win Probability
Stuttgart 48.6%
Draw 25.8%
Hertha Berlin 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
25.9%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Stuttgart aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
32.3%
38.7%
29%
Stuttgart - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 18 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 38.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.6% – 50.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 15).
Stuttgart has the most likely position - 16 (14.85%), has project points - 37, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hertha has the most likely position - 16 (16.33%), has project points - 36, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality64, importance33, match rating48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 1.
Recent matches Stuttgart is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hertha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Stuttgart will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Stuttgart: Coulibaly T.
(Injury)
Millot E.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Dardai M.
(Broken shinbone)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.
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