Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Groningen		Almere City

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.8
	1.78	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.81	3.73	4.57
	1.79	3.64	4.49	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.8	3.6	4.59	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	4.64 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
53%

Draw
26.6%

Almere City
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

24.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Groningen - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 7. Bacuna L. (C) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 43. Peersman M. 6. Resink S. 8. Hove J. 29. Postema R. 25. Oosting T. 10. Valente L. 9. Willumsson B.	1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 3. Jacobs Jo. 22. Barbet T. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 9. Robinet T. (C) 11. Kadile J. 18. Brym C.
Substitutes
24. Baron D. (G) 67. Bouland S. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 36. Mariani M. 27. Mendes R. 4. Pelupessy J. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 22. Stam F. 26. van Bergen T. 46. van der Werff D.	23. Balboa A. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 21. Guillaume B. 17. Hansen K. 15. Lawrence J. 27. Martins M. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 4. Visus R. 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Rijsdijk J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kadile J. 🟨,
43', Brym C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Bacuna L. 🟨,
66', Valente L. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
67', Postema R. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
69', Haye T. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
69', Brym C. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
70', Kadile J. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
85', Peersman M. ↓, van Bergen T. ↑,
85', Bacuna L. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
85', Oosting T. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
90+1', Tahiri A. ↓, Lawrence J. ↑,
90+1', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Groningen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Almere City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Bacuna L. (Yellow Cards) Resink S. (Yellow Cards) de Jonge T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Guillaume B. (Foot Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Elversberg - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	Twente - Groningen	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Groningen - Zwolle	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Groningen - Willem II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.24	Almere City - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Ajax - Almere City	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Almere City - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	NAC Breda - Almere City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Almere City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
31.08.24	Almere City - Groningen	1:1
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Groningen - Almere City	0:2
22.08.20	Almere City - Groningen	1:1
13.11.19	Almere City - Groningen	2:2
05.01.17	Almere City - Groningen	2:3

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