Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 29

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Gualaceo		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.94	3.35	2.5
	2.83	3.28	2.59
	2.6	3.2	2.38
	2.76	3.32	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
34.1%

Draw
28.4%

Emelec
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Gualaceo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Gualaceo - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Hinostroza W. (G) 3. Ontaneda J. 26. Enriquez D. 62. Torres B. 21. Morocho R. 18. Gongora J. 8. Flores F. 45. Medina J. 10. Preciado J. 5. Verges J. 77. Minda T.	12. Ortiz P. (C) 14. Caicedo R. 2. Leguizamon A. 27. Leon F. 16. Chala A. 5. Espinoza J. 15. Villalba C. 21. Cevallos J. 11. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 13. Jhon Sanchez 17. Ayovi J.
Substitutes
51. Beltran W. 80. Branda J. 28. Calle A. 11. Carrion J. 34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 16. Ovando D. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 20. Quinonez H. 12. Rodriguez Y.	6. Agron B. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 70. Borja Suarez R. A. 30. Chamba T. 34. Lastre E. 22. Mina F. (G) 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 36. Valencia C. 31. Vera D.
Coaches
Frias F.	Torres H.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Gualaceo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Emelec is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.11.23	El Nacional - Gualaceo	4:2 ✺
04.11.23	Gualaceo - Delfín	2:2 ✺
27.10.23	Libertad Loja - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gualaceo - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente del Valle - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.11.23	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Emelec - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.06.23	Emelec - Gualaceo	0:0
31.07.22	Emelec - Gualaceo	2:1
13.03.22	Gualaceo - Emelec	2:1

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