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Current Win Probability
Guayaquil City 61.6%
Draw 24.1%
Cumbayá 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
28.1%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
29.1%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Guayaquil City - Cumbayá Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guayaquil City: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Guayaquil City (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Cumbayá (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Cumbayá (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guayaquil City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 8 - 80%). Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guayaquil City is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
Ecuador
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