Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 26

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	HJK		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.00	5.75
	1.55	4.10	5.25
	1.56	4.00	4.80	Watch
	1.57	4.47	5.83
	1.54	4.37	5.6	Watch
	1.52	4.35	5.65
	1.54	4.25	5.40	Watch
	1.50	4.10	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	4.21 ↑ (4.18)	5.46 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
60.7%

Draw
22.2%

VPS Vaasa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HJK - VPS Vaasa Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - HJK Helsinki (1.57) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: HJK will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, HJK has faced a series of away games on the road.

HJK carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for HJK: Ezeh D. (Broken hipbone) Nallo A. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury) Veteli J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for VPS: Mane L. (Yellow Cards) Ronnberg V. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for VPS: Muzinga J. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HJK has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:16 (averaging 2.1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HJK against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 24:7 goals (averaging 2.7:0.8 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	25	12	6	7	39:29	10	42
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30:25	5	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLW
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.09.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.07.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	2:1
22.05.26	VPS Vaasa - HJK	2:1
05.07.25	VPS Vaasa - HJK	0:2
26.04.25	HJK - VPS Vaasa	3:1
20.09.24	VPS Vaasa - HJK	1:1
01.09.24	VPS Vaasa - HJK	1:3
17.05.24	HJK - VPS Vaasa	1:2

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