The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Beer Sheva 10.7%
Draw 17.3%
Bayer Leverkusen 72%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.6%
21.2%
63.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
11.2%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-38.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
3.6%
84.5%
Hapoel Beer Sheva - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(93 of 110 users predict this - 84.55%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.8% – 91.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Limited number of spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - HaMoshava Stadium.
Hapoel Beer Sheva has a chance of round of 32 (26%), has a small chance of round of 16 (8%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bayer has a good chance of round of 32 (82%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Recent matches Hapoel Beer Sheva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.