Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Heerenveen		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.24	5.9	9.8
	1.41	4.27	8.08	Watch
	1.29	5	9
	1.29	5.55	8.9	Watch
	1.27	5.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	5.33 ↑ (4.5)	9.13 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
72.3%

Draw
17.5%

Waalwijk
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Heerenveen - Waalwijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Waalwijk (6.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 50%). Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 3. Willemsen M. 4. Kersten S. 19. Zagaritis V. 6. van Overeem J. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 16. Linday M. 20. Trenskow J. 9. Vente D. 11. Oyen L.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 6. Roemeratoe G. 20. Kuster H. 8. van Kaam D. 7. Cleonise D. 9. Uneken J. 14. Lokesa C.
Substitutes
35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 5. Bochniewicz P. 34. Bouw R. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 44. Noppert A. (G) 18. Nordas L. 7. Rivera M. 26. van Axel Dongen A.	26. Bramel T. (G) 55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 17. Kuijpers R. 13. Mulder X. (G) 35. Postma L. 11. van der Leij T. 30. van der Veen Y. 10. van der Venne R. 3. van Eijma R. 18. van Hedel R. 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
Veldman R.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Cleonise D. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
61', Oyen L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Uneken J. ⚽,
68', Witteveen M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Braude O. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
76', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
76', van Gelderen L. ↓, Postma L. ↑,
80', Vente D. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
80', Brouwers L. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
83', Lokesa C. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
83', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Held N. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.

Heerenveen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Waalwijk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Heerenveen is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now

Heerenveen: 2.11% Waalwijk: 0.88%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Heerenveen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Hoffenheim - Heerenveen	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.5 T?WWW
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.25	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	HSC 21 - Waalwijk	0:9 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Jong PSV - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.25	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	3:1
29.11.24	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	1:1
30.03.24	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	1:1
12.08.23	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1
25.02.23	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	1:4
07.01.23	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	0:0
12.03.22	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	0:0

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