Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 26

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Helmond Sport		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.78	3.7	2.28	Watch
	2.88	3.72	2.33
	2.95	3.71	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.55	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.66	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.38)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.23 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
32.5%

Draw
25.8%

Den Bosch
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helmond Sport's form might have worsened.

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Helmond Sport - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Helmond Sport (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 22. Dizdarevic A. 26. Makanza N. 47. Geerts D. 36. Leipold A. 9. Bajrami L.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 47. Barglan S. 4. van Grunsven T. 33. Laros M. 5. de Groot N. 26. el Bakkali Z. 10. van Leeuwen T. 6. Felida K. (C) 15. de Vries J. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 8. Monzialo K.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 34. Essakkati T. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 48. van Bree R. 21. Wentges H. (G) 29. Zimuangana O.	27. Akmum R. 1. Bakker M. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 22. Fortes J. 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 48. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L. 11. Verbeek D. 39. Wolters R.
Coaches
Seegers J.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Bajrami L. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
25', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
26', van de Merbel P. 🟨,
26', Bajrami L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', el Bakkali Z. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
59', van Leeuwen T. 🟨,
66', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
66', van Grunsven T. ↓, Van Koeverden L. ↑,
74', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
78', Leipold A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
78', de Vries J. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
78', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
85', Dekkers S. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Koglin B. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
90+3', Zimuangana O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Helmond Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.2:0.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Helmond Sport - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Den Bosch - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.26	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Helmond Sport - Willem II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTT
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.01.26	Den Bosch - Emmen	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Den Bosch - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.10.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0
02.05.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0
06.12.24	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	0:0
02.02.24	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	0:0
18.08.23	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	1:0
14.04.23	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:2
16.12.22	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	1:0

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