Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Heracles Almelo		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.3
	2.05	3.75	3	Watch
	2.04	3.97	2.88	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.9
	2.13	4.04	2.85	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.8)	3.77 ↓ (4)	2.82 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
43.2%

Draw
24.3%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

22.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Düsseldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Düsseldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fortuna will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jansink T. (G) 2. Benita M. 5. Bruijn J. 14. De Keersmaecker B. (C) 21. Hoogma J. 9. Hornkamp J. 18. Leerdam K. 7. Limbombe B. 26. van Kaam D. 3. Wieckhoff J. 13. Zamburek J.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 45. Affo K. 23. Appelkamp S. 44. Boller J. 43. Egouli E. 34. Gavory N. 3. Hoffmann A. 18. Niemiec J. 22. Schmidt D. 9. Vermeij V. 25. Zimmermann M.
Substitutes
35. Bultman S. 39. Codinha T. 4. Mirani D. 28. Sambo G. 32. Scheperman S. . Slagveer D. 27. Tijink J. 20. van Oorschot D. . Zeevalkink L. (G)	4. Barth O. . Brodersen 5. Heyer M. 24. Kownacki D. . Len 15. Oberdorf T. . Zich

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

No spectators.

Heracles is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fortuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortuna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.25	Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	4:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.02.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.02.25	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
28.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.10.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heracles Almelo	0:1
11.11.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Heracles Almelo	2:1

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