Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 7
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 6
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.5
	1.49	4.7	5.9	Watch
	1.51	5.2	5.86
	1.5	4.75	5.86	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5	Watch
	1.52	5.23	5.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	4.9 ↑ (4.61)	5.69 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
63.8%

Draw
19.4%

Werder Bremen
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

20.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	12.5%	10%

Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Werder will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 27. Kramaric A. 11. Asllani F. 29. Toure B. 19. Lemperle T.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 14. Lynen S. 11. Njinmah J. 6. Stage J. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 29. Musah S.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 20. Campbell C. 10. Damar M. 23. Hlozek A. 2. Hranac R. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 6. Promel G.	31. Coulibaly K. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 25. Kolke M. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 19. Milosevic J. 23. Schmidt I. 4. Stark N. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Sugawara Y. 🟥,
12', Musah S. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Toure B. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
41', Puertas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
66', Bernardo 🟨,
71', Stage J. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
71', Schmid R. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
71', Bernardo ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
71', Lemperle T. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
81', Schmidt I. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
88', Njinmah J. 🟨,
88', Thioune D. 🟨,
89', Kramaric A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
89', Asllani F. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4.

Hoffenheim has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Werder is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Bittencourt L. (Thigh Injury) Hein K. (Hand Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Agu F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	1	12
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14:14	0	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.45% Hoffenheim: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hoffenheim - Mainz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:3
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:1
German Bundesliga
16.02.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	1:3
29.09.24	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	3:4
03.03.24	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	2:1
07.10.23	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	2:3

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