Match Info

DFB Pokal - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 4
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Austria	20:45	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Disney+
Finland	21:45	Veikkaus TV
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, L'Equipe
Germany	20:45	DFB Play, Servus TV, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW, ZDF
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	03:45	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
India	01:15	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	02:45	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Qazsport
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	22:45	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:45	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	20:45	Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	20:45	Disney+
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	22:45	Sifir
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Sport
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Holstein Kiel		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.9	4.7	1.5	Watch
	6.1	4.7	1.51
	45.42	7.02	1.11	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	6.2	4.73	1.56	Watch
	5.75	4.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.48 ↑ (5.62)	4.94 ↑ (4.43)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
8.9%

Draw
20.6%

Stuttgart
70.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.3%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

24.9%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holstein Kiel's form might have worsened.

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	17.5%	77.5%

Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 5%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1.5 - Stuttgart (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Stuttgart (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Stuttgart (votes: 20 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 47. Tolkin J. 15. Davidsen K. 28. Meffert J. 8. Tohumcu U. 16. Kelati A. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P.	33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 18. Leweling J. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D.
Substitutes
18. Jakupovic A. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 10. Therkelsen J.	2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 9. Demirovic E. 29. Jeltsch F. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 15. Stenzel P.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Tohumcu U. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Undav D. ⚽,
70', Kapralik A. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
70', Davidsen K. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
81', Leweling J. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
85', Kelati A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
85', Nekic I. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
90+1', Fuhrich C. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
90+1', El Khannouss B. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
90+1', Stiller A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Karazor A. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),

Preview

Holstein Kiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stuttgart is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stuttgart is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Nartey N. (Knock) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Bredlow F. (Calf Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.52%

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.99%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Servette	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWT
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Stuttgart - Young Boys	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Roma - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	2:2
26.10.24	Stuttgart - Holstein Kiel	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
24.05.20	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	3:2
20.10.19	Stuttgart - Holstein Kiel	0:1
German DFB Pokal
08.08.15	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	1:2

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