Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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World	Sport 24, VIX App


	Roma		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.6	3.4
	2.15	3.75	3.3
	1.9	3.65	3.6
	2.33	3.47	3.19	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.33	3.5	3.34
	2.25	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.87)	3.52 ↓ (3.81)	3.29 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
43.9%

Draw
27.1%

Stuttgart
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	16.7%	27.1%

Roma - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 27 - 56.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 13 - 27.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 42.3% – 70.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Stuttgart (1.91) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Stuttgart (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 24. Ziolkowski J. 87. Ghilardi D. 2. Rensch D. 17. Kone M. 61. Pisilli N. 12. Tsimikas K. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 11. Ferguson E.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. (C) 30. Andres C. 18. Leweling J. 10. Fuhrich C. 7. Mittelstadt M. 26. Undav D.
Substitutes
4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 95. Gollini P. (G) 77. Lulli E. 23. Mancini G. 79. Morucci E. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca	27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 35. Catovic M. 9. Demirovic E. 44. Hellstern F. (G) 37. Herwerth M. 31. Olivier C. 49. Penna L. 56. Spalt Y. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Mittelstadt M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Pisilli N. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Ndicka E. ↑,
60', Kone M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
70', Fuhrich C. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
70', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
72', Tsimikas K. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
72', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
82', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
82', Andres C. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
84', Soule M. ↓, Mancini G. ↑,
85', Chabot J. 🟨,
87', Celik Z. 🟨,
90+2', Hoeness S. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Pisilli N. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of home games.

Roma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Lacking Match Fitness) Baldanzi T. (Illness) Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hermoso M. (Injury) Malen D. (Inactive) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Vaz R. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Drljaca S. (Inactive) El Khannouss B. (Yellow Cards) Jaquez L. (Thigh Injury) Jeremy Arevalo (Inactive) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Nartey N. (Inactive) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Stiller A. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.01.26	Roma - Torino	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Lecce - Roma	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Atalanta - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Stuttgart - Luzern	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWT

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