Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Hull City		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.18	3.37	3.37	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.57
	2.23	3.28	3.37	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.1
	2.23	3.35	3.29	Watch
	2.18	3.37	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	3.31 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Luton Town
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	15%	5%

Hull City - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 4. Hughes C. 6. McLoughlin S. 19. Alzate S. 20. Puerta G. 44. Kamara A. 45. Palmer K. 28. Joseph K. 30. Gelhardt J.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 6. McGuinness M. 16. Burke R. 45. Doughty A. 20. Walsh L. 18. Clark J. 8. Aasgaard T. 3. Bell A. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
37. Amrabat N. 17. Burns F. 48. Burstow M. 24. Crooks M. 23. Drameh C. 15. Egan J. 16. Lincoln 32. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 27. Slater R.	21. Alli M. 47. Bowler J. 14. Chong T. 22. Dabo L. 23. Krul T. (G) 12. Naismith K. 37. Nelson Z. 44. Nordas L. 2. Walters R.
Coaches
Selles R.	Bloomfield M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Jones A. (Own goal),
46', Burke R. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
63', Joseph K. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
63', Palmer K. ↓, Lincoln ↑,
66', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
66', Adebayo E. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
77', Puerta G. ↓, Amrabat N. ↑,
85', Morris C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
85', Doughty A. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hull will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Hull: Barry L. (Knee Injury) Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Drameh C. (Knee Injury) Joao Pedro Galvao (Red Card) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Chong T. (Hamstring Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Sinik D. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hull won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
15.03.25	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	Hull City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bristol City - Hull City	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWL
- Luton Town
English League Championship
15.03.25	Luton Town - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Cardiff City - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Burnley - Luton Town	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Luton Town - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Watford - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.11.24	Luton Town - Hull City	1:0
08.05.23	Luton Town - Hull City	0:0
30.09.22	Hull City - Luton Town	0:2
19.03.22	Hull City - Luton Town	1:3
23.10.21	Luton Town - Hull City	1:0
18.07.20	Hull City - Luton Town	0:1
21.09.19	Luton Town - Hull City	0:3

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