Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Toca Lopez J. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.65
	4.6	4.2	1.63
	4.5	3.85	1.68
	5.02	3.96	1.73
	4.8	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.6	4.15	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↓ (4.74)	3.89 ↑ (3.71)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
20.1%

Draw
24.1%

Valladolid
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

25.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	4.9%	78%

Ibiza - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (32 of 41 users predict this - 78.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.38% – 90.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 10 (19.24%), has project points - 54, has currently - 52, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Valladolid has the most likely position - 3 (63.45%), has project points - 78, has currently - 75, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 34, importance 50, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
15.05.22	Mirandés - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
08.05.22	Ibiza - Lugo	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.22	Valladolid - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
08.05.22	Eibar - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
02.05.22	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Valladolid - Almería	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.21	Valladolid - Ibiza	1:1

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