Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Valladolid		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.25
	1.47	4.6	5.75
	1.51	4.4	5.4
	1.54	4.7	5.89
				Watch
	1.46	4.85	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	4.57 ↑ (3.5)	5.64 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valladolid
62.7%

Draw
20.6%

Ponferradina
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

27.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid's performance.

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15%	10%

Valladolid - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

Valladolid has the most likely position - 3 (49.23%), has project points - 77, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (59%), has a good chance of promoted (56%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 8 (39.55%), has project points - 66, has currently - 63, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, importance 66, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Valladolid is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.22	Eibar - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
02.05.22	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Valladolid - Almería	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Málaga - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTT
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
07.05.22	Ponferradina - Burgos	3:1 ✺
01.05.22	Ponferradina - Cartagena	4:2 ✺
23.04.22	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:3 ✺
17.04.22	Ponferradina - Lugo	3:1 ✺
11.04.22	Almería - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.21	Ponferradina - Valladolid	2:2
06.02.16	Valladolid - Ponferradina	0:0
06.09.15	Ponferradina - Valladolid	3:0
22.03.15	Ponferradina - Valladolid	2:0
18.10.14	Valladolid - Ponferradina	0:0

Upcoming Matches