Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 14

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Troya Arana L. (Ecu)


	Imbabura		Emelec

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3	3	2.15
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.29	3.2	2.33
	3.29	3.16	2.33
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.14	3.33	2.22	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.19 ↓ (3.48)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
29.4%

Draw
29%

Emelec
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Imbabura - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 22. Mendoza E. 4. Medina A. 3. Cabeza E. 7. Pantoja L. 8. Caicedo R. 10. Espinoza J. 11. Burbano D. 26. Santacruz A. 34. Alcivar J. 9. Paz F.	12. Ortiz P. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. 27. Leon F. (C) 2. Leguizamon A. 15. Cortez G. 5. Erbes C. 8. Meli M. 24. Carabali B. 25. Garces R. 11. Rivero R. 9. Castelli F.
Substitutes
20. Arteaga M. 14. Calderon H. 5. Cevallos G. 15. Chavez R. 18. Folleco W. 31. Guisamano J. 21. Mina M. 90. Minda P. (G) 17. Presentado F. 33. Rendon G. 27. Romero C. 70. Villamil A.	17. Ayovi J. 55. Borja R. 30. Chamba T. 7. Corozo W. 13. Jhon Sanchez 1. Napa G. (G) 88. Quinonez J. 10. Ricaurte A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 19. Ruiz J. 28. Solis M. 36. Valencia C.
Coaches
Armas J.	Torres H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rivero R. ⚽, Castelli F. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Pantoja L. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
23', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
28', Alcivar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Erbes C. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
46', Meli M. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
46', Carabali B. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
47', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
49', Borja R. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Cabeza E. (Own goal),
66', Alcivar J. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
71', Rivero R. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
71', Burbano D. ↓, Chavez R. ↑,
71', Caicedo R. ↓, Calderon H. ↑,
79', Santacruz A. ↓, Folleco W. ↑,
79', Pantoja L. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
86', Ayovi J. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
90+4', Solis M. 🟨,
90+5', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

Imbabura is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Emelec is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emelec will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Imbabura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Imbabura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Imbabura	5:2 ✺
11.05.24	Imbabura - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
06.05.24	Técnico Universitario - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
18.04.24	Imbabura - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTLT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.05.24	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	SD Aucas - Emelec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWTL

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