Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Independiente		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.5	2.87	3
	2.6	2.95	3.05
	2.52	2.93	3.38
	2.5	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.55	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3.13 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
37.7%

Draw
32%

Belgrano
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

33.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Independiente - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 27 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Independiente has the most likely position - 28 (9.86%), project points - 29, currently - 10, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belgrano has the most likely position - 5 (7.81%), project points - 42, currently - 24, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, very small importance 2, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 4.

Independiente is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Injury) Perez D. (Red Card) Pozzo T. A. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Oliver F. (Injury) Tapia I. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Independiente won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.04.23	River Plate - Independiente	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
12.04.23	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	San Lorenzo - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.04.23	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.11.18	Independiente - Belgrano	2:1
05.11.17	Belgrano - Independiente	0:0
28.08.16	Belgrano - Independiente	0:1
07.02.16	Independiente - Belgrano	1:0
19.11.15	Independiente - Belgrano	4:1
07.03.15	Independiente - Belgrano	1:2
06.12.14	Belgrano - Independiente	4:0

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