Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Vargas Carreno G. A. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Independiente Medellín		Cusco

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.38	5	7.25
	1.35	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.38	5.18	9
	1.37	4.98	8.36	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8	Watch
	1.36	5.09	8.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.94 ↑ (4.8)	8.33 ↑ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
69.5%

Draw
19.2%

Cusco
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.4%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Cusco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Cusco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Ind Medellín (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 24. Ortiz J. 33. Londono D. 18. Fabra F. 13. Chaverra F. 16. Loboa H. 8. Serna A. 11. Yony Gonzalez 19. Fydriszewski F. (C) 10. Catano D.	28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 21. Zevallos J. 26. Silva N. 88. Soto D. 16. Valenzuela O. 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Callejo F. (C) 27. Carabajal G.
Substitutes
2. Chaverra L. 28. Davila A. 5. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 17. Mancilla G. 20. Montano J. 6. Moreno D. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 14. Perlaza B.	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 32. Astudillo J. 5. Aucca M. 15. Bolivar J. 37. Choi G. 10. Colman I. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Botero J.	Orfila A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Catano D. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
56', Carabajal G. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
63', Zevallos J. 🟨,
63', Chaverra F. 🟨,
63', Chaverra F. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
64', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
70', Loboa H. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
74', Diaz P. 🟨,
78', Manzaneda J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
79', Palacios H. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
90+1', Soto D. ↓, Colman I. ↑,
90+1', Zevallos J. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
90+1', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
90+3', Fabra F. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Ind Medellín: Mantilla K. (Injury)

There will not play in Cusco: Colitto L. (Red Card)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
25.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Flamengo - Independiente Medellín	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Alianza Lima - Cusco	8:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Cusco - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL

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